Tag Archives: market analysis

How do we make a business case for an innovative concept given the data scarcity for the African mass market?

Anzetse Were writes some thoughtful points on the challenges facing private sector innovation in Kenya, and Africa. Two of her points caught my attention, in particular: With regards to the private sector, an interesting point raised is that innovation targeting it must have a business case for adoption otherwise the innovation won’t be absorbed. Innovation […]

Posted in Africa, African Consumer Market, Analysis, Business, Consumer Behaviour, Design, Emerging Markets, Innovation Planning, Marchés africains, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Retail in Africa, Risk, Sub Saharan Africa | Also tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Estimating price in unexplored and untapped markets

In addition to estimating the size and value of the Kenyan cyber cafe industry for our client, Village Telco of Cape Town, South Africa, we were tasked with finding out what would people pay for their product, the Mesh Potato. This challenge was the equivalent of walking up to someone and asking: How much would […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Analysis, Business Models, Consumer Behaviour, Cyber cafe series, Ecosystem, Frameworks, Innovation Planning, Kenya, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Process, Projects and Reports, Strategy, Sub Saharan Africa, Technology, User research | Also tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Exploring the market forces acting on the cyber cafe industry in Kenya

This post continues on the challenges of estimating size and value of an untapped market in the developing world – in our current case, it is the cyber cafe industry in Kenya.  A critical aspect of this exercise will include assessing the impact of a variety of market forces acting on the industry in the […]

Posted in Africa, Analysis, Base of the Pyramid, Business Models, Cyber cafe series, Ecosystem, Kenya, Mobile platform, Perspective, Projects and Reports, Technology, User research | Also tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The challenge of assessing the size of an emerging market opportunity

Kagio fresh produce market, Kenya, April 2013 Untapped opportunities in the developing world bring with them their own challenges for businesses seeking to invest in them.  An interesting one is that of assessing the market size and value, particularly for the lower income demographic that operates primarily in the informal economy (often called the BoP […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Analysis, Base of the Pyramid, Business, Business Models, Emerging Markets, Frameworks, Informal & Flexible, Innovation Planning, Kenya, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Process, Projects and Reports, Strategy, User research, Value | Also tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Target market strategy for upwardly mobile BoP segments

* BoP – referring Prahalad’s Bottom of the social and economic pyramid, MoP – middle This visualization of the emerging consumer market opportunity in India is by the insightful analysts at Nomura Research Institute, Japan. When taking this in conjunction with the information collated in my previous post on the imminent boom in upward mobility […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Analysis, Base of the Pyramid, Consumer Behaviour, Emerging Markets, Frameworks, India, Innovation Planning, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, South Asia, Strategy, Sub Saharan Africa | Also tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Emerging evolution of global BoP markets by mindset and income

 Japan’s Nomura Research Institute have an interesting take on the evolution of the existing global population currently demarcated as the BoP (Base or Bottom of the Pyramid). While it is not surprising that income levels are expected to increase, given the signals already observed in frontier markets and rapidly growing economies, what was intriguing was […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Analysis, Assumption filter, Base of the Pyramid, Consumer Behaviour, Emerging Markets, global, Informal & Flexible, Innovation Planning, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Strategy, Sub Saharan Africa | Also tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Rural India: On the tipping point of a boom or tremors of historic change?

It seems 2012 will be the year of Rural India’s ascendancy over the ubiquitous metros and urban elite in the minds of market makers and strategists alike. I was in New Delhi this last week of August and on my return I thought I’d write an update on my impressions of urban India today, starting […]

Posted in Analysis, Assumption filter, Base of the Pyramid, Consumer Behaviour, Culture, Emerging Markets, India, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, rural, Rural Economy, South Asia, Strategy | Also tagged , | Leave a comment

What price brand? No pretence about “fakes”

One of the most fascinating things that emerged from my immersion in the informal trade of China made consumer electronics in Kenya last month was the role played by “fakes”. We assume that cheaper copies of well known brands attempt to fool the customers. Packaging and brand names echo the look and feel of the […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Assumption filter, Consumer Behaviour, Emerging Markets, Frugality, Innovation Planning, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Strategy, Sub Saharan Africa, Value | Also tagged , | 4 Responses

The continued curse of Cargo Cult marketing in emerging markets

The concept of Cargo Cult marketing is not unknown yet its impact and influence in the emerging markets in which I operate, can be and is, much worse. The so called “Bottom of the Pyramid” (AKA the BoP) markets have conditions that are even more likely to give rise to this blind adherence to conventional […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Analysis, Assumption filter, Consumer Behaviour, Emerging Markets, Innovation Planning, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Strategy, UCSD, User research | Also tagged , , , , | 1 Response

New Product Introductions in Informal Markets

“What’s new?” I asked Peter who runs this mari mari shop in a makeshift market just yards from Nairobi’s famous Kibera, and he proudly showed off the various features of this television set cum DVD player that can run on a small battery if need be. Yours for just $100. Don’t miss the bright pink […]

Posted in African Consumer Market, Assumption filter, Base of the Pyramid, Consumer Behaviour, Design, Emerging Markets, Indigenous & Traditional, Informal & Flexible, Innovation Planning, Kenya, Marketing, Perspective, Prepaid Economy & Informal Sector, Strategy, Technology, urban | Also tagged , , , , | Leave a comment